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NVIDIA’s Next-Gen “Rubin” Architecture to Arrive Six Months Earlier Than Expected

NVIDIA is not slowing down. While Blackwell is set to debut on consumer graphics cards in January 2025, the company is already focused on its next architecture, Rubin. Progress on Rubin is moving quickly, and if development continues without delays, it could arrive six months ahead of its original schedule.

Early Launch for AI Accelerators

If all goes according to plan, NVIDIA will launch AI accelerators based on Rubin architecture first, followed by consumer graphics cards a few months later—mirroring the release strategy used with Blackwell. This shift in timing is part of NVIDIA’s broader strategy to introduce an annual architecture update cycle, an ambitious move designed to outpace competitors in both the GPU market and the AI space.

Impact on Blackwell’s Lifespan

NVIDIA’s Blackwell architecture will likely have a consumer graphics card lifecycle of about two years. The company’s push to accelerate development cycles will primarily focus on business and AI solutions for now. Although consumer GPU refresh cycles are expected to remain at two years, this could change with future iterations of the roadmap.

Originally slated for a 2026 launch, Rubin is now expected to arrive in the second half of 2025 due to rapid development. It will utilize TSMC’s 3nm node and incorporate HBM4 memory chips. This next-generation architecture aims to solidify NVIDIA’s leadership in AI hardware, potentially repeating the modular design approach with multiple GPUs combined to form a single super GPU, and integrating next-gen tensor cores.

Solomon Thompson

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